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Julian Emanuel Explains Why Markets Can Still Move Higher
ABI Analysis
·
Pan-African
macro
Sentiment: 0.75 (positive)
·
17/03/2026
The global equity markets have demonstrated a remarkable capacity to absorb shocks that would have triggered sharp selloffs just a few years ago. Recent volatility stemming from Middle Eastern tensions has been quickly absorbed by equity indices, with investors shifting focus back to fundamentals rather than headline risk. This resilience signals something more profound: market participants are increasingly confident in underlying economic strength and corporate profitability trajectories, a dynamic that has significant implications for European investors positioning capital in African markets. According to analysis from major institutional strategists, the current market environment reflects a fundamental shift in how investors price geopolitical risk. Where previous conflicts or regional tensions might have prompted broad portfolio deleveraging, today's markets are treating similar events as temporary disruptions rather than systemic threats. This confidence is underpinned by robust earnings expectations, with equity markets pricing in double-digit earnings growth across major indices. For European investors, this signals that the traditional risk-off trades may no longer provide the protection they historically did. The mechanism driving this resilience deserves closer examination. Corporate earnings growth remains the primary driver of equity valuations, and consensus forecasts continue to anticipate healthy profit expansion across sectors. Even when geopolitical concerns create short-term
Gateway Intelligence
**Premium Actionable Intelligence:** European investors should shift from defensive positioning to selective accumulation in African financial services and consumer staples equities, where earnings visibility is strongest and valuations remain attractive relative to developed markets. Current volatility presents tactical entry points, but focus capital on companies with local currency earnings power and proven ability to maintain margins during periods of currency weakness. Avoid cyclical sectors and commodity-sensitive businesses until inflation dynamics clarify further.
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Sources: Bloomberg Africa