Shea Butter & Oilseed Value-Chain Processing Facility (SME Scale)

Nigeria is experiencing a strong investment rebound in 2025–2026, with FDI rising 700% quarter-on-quarter to $720 million in Q3 2025 and combined FPI+FDI reaching nearly $14 billion in the first nine months of 2025 — surpassing all of 2024. Foreign capital inflows for full-year 2025 are projected at $23.3 billion, the strongest in six years, driven by a steadier naira, easing inflation, and elevated fixed-income yields. The Federal Government has committed N800 billion under the National Industrial Policy 2025 — N500 billion earmarked for agro-processing and N300 billion for renewable energy — and has appointed Nigeria as Co-Champion of the AfCFTA Protocol on Digital Trade alongside Kenya and South Africa. A landmark Nigeria–Brazil Strategic Dialogue yielded a $1.1 billion Green Imperative Partnership to mechanise agriculture, while Nigeria's customs framework underwent sweeping modernisation including the Authorised Economic Operator Programme and a National Single Window for trade facilitation. These structural reforms, backed by active bilateral diplomacy with the UK, UAE, Saudi Arabia, and China, position Nigeria as a reform-driven, high-momentum frontier market entering 2026.

Nigeria's government enacted a raw shea nut export ban in 2025 to force domestic value-addition, causing a 33% drop in raw nut prices that sharply reduces input costs for processors. Simultaneously, the Federal Government earmarked N500 billion of its N800 billion National Industrial Policy 2025 budget specifically for agro-processing credit at single-digit interest rates, creating a rare combination of cheap inputs and subsidised financing.

Market drivers:

- Raw shea nut export ban redirecting supply to domestic processors and slashing input prices by ~33%

- N500bn government credit allocation for agro-processing under Nigeria Industrial Policy 2025

- Nigeria appointed AfCFTA Co-Champion for Digital Trade, opening preferential access to 1.4 billion-consumer African market for processed goods

- UK-Nigeria Enhanced Trade & Investment Partnership (March 2026) easing agrifood export standards via BSI-SON collaboration

Risks:

- Naira exchange-rate volatility can erode EUR-denominated returns on repatriation

- Infrastructure gaps (power, cold-chain logistics) in processing zones may inflate operating costs